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SBTi FLAGLand · 22% of Global GHGWhite Paper · June 2026

Science-Based Targets for Land

How the SBTi FLAG standard works, who it binds, and what it asks of the agrifood industry — pathways, coverage, removals, and the no-deforestation rule.

By Climate Decode · · 11 min read

LAND: A FIFTH OF THE PROBLEM, A THIRD OF THE FIX22%of net global GHG~13 Gt CO₂e / yr (AFOLU)37%of mitigation to 2030cheap cuts + removalsFLAG: the SBTi standard that finally covers it
Land sector share
~22%
of net human-caused GHG emissions — ~13 Gt CO₂e a year
Commodity pathways
11
beef to timber & wood fiber, regionalized across 26 areas
No-deforestation
2030
public commitment, 2020 cutoff — mandatory with every target
In This Article
The Standard

What FLAG Is, and Why It Exists

FLAG stands for Forest, Land and Agriculture. It is the part of the Science Based Targets initiative that lets a company set a climate target for its land-related emissions and removals — the same sector climate science calls AFOLU. The land sector accounts for about 22 percent of net human-caused greenhouse gas emissions, roughly 13 billion tonnes of CO₂ equivalent a year, split about evenly between agriculture and land-use change. It is also where a large share of the cheap mitigation sits: the land sector could deliver up to about 37 percent of the emission cuts and removals needed through 2030.

For years this sector sat outside corporate target-setting. The methods and data were not there, so companies set targets on their energy and industrial emissions and left their land footprint unaddressed. Two things changed that. The SBTi published the FLAG guidance, now at Version 1.2, and the GHG Protocol released its Land Sector and Removals Standard. Together they give the agrifood industry an agreed way to measure land emissions and removals and to set a 1.5°C-aligned target against them.

Separate by design

FLAG targets are deliberately kept separate from a company’s energy and industry targets. The two cover different emissions, use different methods, and treat carbon removals differently. A company that qualifies sets a FLAG target alongside its conventional target, not instead of it.

Applicability

Who Has to Set a FLAG Target

A company must set a FLAG target if it meets either of two conditions. The first is sector-based: companies in the FLAG-designated sectors are required to set one regardless of their emissions mix. The second is a threshold that catches everyone else: any company whose land-related emissions reach 20 percent or more of its total gross emissions across scopes 1, 2 and 3.

Required by sectorCaught by the 20% threshold
Forest and paper products (forestry, timber, pulp and paper, rubber)Retail, packaging, hospitality and tourism
Food production — agriculturalTextiles, apparel, footwear and luxury goods
Food production — animal sourceConsumer durables, household and personal products
Food and beverage processingTires, building products, construction materials
Food and staples retailingMining, infrastructure and others with land-use-change emissions
TobaccoAny other company over the 20% gross-emissions threshold

Small and medium-sized enterprises are exempt. A designated-sector company with under 5% land-related emissions need not set a FLAG target but must still account for those emissions in its conventional target.

In a FLAG-designated sector?Forest & paper · food · retail · tobaccoLand emissions ≥ 20%?Of gross Scope 1+2+3FLAG target requiredEither route is enough+ No-deforestationPublic · by end-2030A company can be well over the line without owning a single hectare — land emissions usually sit in Scope 3
Two routes in, one obligation out — and every FLAG target carries the public no-deforestation commitment.

In practice this covers most of the agrifood value chain, from the farm and the forest through the processor, the manufacturer and the retailer. A FLAG scope 3 target is required whenever a company’s total scope 3 emissions reach 40 percent or more of its footprint, which is the norm in food and consumer goods.

Mechanics

How a FLAG Target Works

FLAG offers two ways to set a target, and a company can use both at once. The choice depends on how concentrated its land emissions are in a few commodities.

Sector pathwayCommodity pathways
TypeAbsolute reduction on a 1.5°C trajectoryIntensity convergence — emissions per tonne of product
Built forDiversified land footprints — processors, manufacturers, retailersFootprints concentrated in specific commodities
CoverageTotal land emissions11 commodities: beef, chicken, dairy, leather, maize, palm oil, pork, rice, soy, wheat, timber & wood fiber
RegionalizationGlobal pathway26 regions — the same crop carries a different target by origin
When mandatoryDefault for everything not on a commodity pathwayAny commodity ≥10% of land emissions can use it; timber & wood fiber mandatory above that level for forestry & paper

A company uses both at once and aggregates them into a single target through the SBTi FLAG Tool.

Coverage, removals, and no-deforestation — the three rules

RuleRequirementWhy it bites
Coverage≥95% of land-related Scope 1; ≥67% of land-related Scope 3Counted separately from the conventional target — a second inventory
RemovalsLand-based removals count — reported separately from emissionsAbout half the land sector’s mitigation potential, but they cannot soften the required cuts
No-deforestationPublic commitment, 2020 cutoff, target date by end-2030Forces commodity traceability back to the land it came from

The rule that reaches the supply chain

A company setting a FLAG target has to commit publicly, in fixed language on the SBTi dashboard, to ending deforestation in its main deforestation-linked commodities — cutoff date 2020 or earlier, target date within two years of submission and no later than the end of 2030. This is what turns a target into a supply-chain obligation, because it forces the company to trace its commodities back to the land they came from.

Advisory by Climate Decode

A FLAG target is a data problem before it is a number.

Climate Decode builds the land-sector inventory, screens the levers against the right pathway, and returns a financed plan — with removals handled separately, as the standard requires.

Talk to Our Team →Explore TerraNova
The Gap

Why FLAG Is Hard to Comply With

FLAG asks for things most agrifood companies do not yet have. The difficulty is not the target number; it is everything that has to be built before a number can be set.

Each of these is a data and analysis problem before it is a target. This is the gap between knowing a FLAG target is required and being able to set a credible one.

Stuck on the land-sector inventory? That is the part we build.

Start the Build →
Mapping

FLAG and the Abatement Toolkit

FLAG maps cleanly onto the levers that decarbonize agrifood, and onto the three gases that drive the sector. Land-use change is the carbon-dioxide problem, addressed by halting deforestation and restoring land. Land management is the methane and nitrous-oxide problem, addressed by better feed, productivity, manure management and efficient nitrogen. The sector pathway is built from exactly these moves — reducing land-use change, improving agriculture, restoring forests, sustainable forest management and agroforestry, building agricultural soil carbon, cutting food loss and waste, and bioenergy with carbon capture.

This is the same toolkit set out in the sector overview, now tied to a binding target. A FLAG target tells a company how far it has to go; the levers tell it how, and at what cost. The two have to be solved together, because a target with no costed plan behind it is just a number, and a plan with no target has nothing to aim at.

Where Climate Decode Fits

TerraNova for the Target, Canopy for the Removals

Setting and meeting a FLAG target is a measurement, target-setting and financing problem in sequence, which is the workflow TerraNova already runs for industrial emitters. It builds the land-sector inventory on the right basis, separating land-use change from land management and stopping at the farm gate. It screens the abatement levers against the company’s FLAG pathway, sector or commodity, and ranks them by cost and by how much of the target gap each closes. It returns a financed plan with the cost, payback and sequencing of each measure, and tracks the company’s position against the pathway year by year.

Removals are the other half of a FLAG position, and the half a conventional target cannot use. Canopy handles them: sourcing and structuring credible land-based removals, kept separate from emissions as the standard requires, so a company can build toward a long-term net-zero FLAG target without double-counting. Between the two, Climate Decode covers the whole of what FLAG asks — the inventory, the reduction plan, the removals, and the reporting that holds up to validation.

Take-aways

Four Things to Hold On To

Continue in the Agriculture Series

The Sector Overview  ·  Supplier Engagement & Scope 3  ·  SBTi FLAG in the Nature Series

References & Sources

Where each claim comes from

Notes and sources for the figures in this paper.

  1. SBTi (2026). Forest, Land and Agriculture Science-Based Target-Setting Guidance, Version 1.2 (March 2026) — FLAG criteria, the two pathways, 95%/67% coverage, the 20% threshold, eleven commodity pathways, no-deforestation commitment, removals treatment.
  2. SBTi FLAG Tool, Version 1.6 (April 2026) — sector pathway (absolute contraction, 1.5°C) and commodity pathways (intensity convergence), regionalized across 26 areas.
  3. IPCC (2022), Sixth Assessment Report, WG III — AFOLU is ~22% of net anthropogenic GHG, ~13 GtCO₂e/yr, split evenly between agriculture and land-use change.
  4. Griscom, B. W., et al. (2017). Natural climate solutions. PNAS — land sector could provide up to ~37% of mitigation needed through 2030.
  5. GHG Protocol (2026). Land Sector and Removals Standard, Version 1.0 (January 2026) — the accounting basis FLAG aligns to.

The land sector finally has a standard. Agrifood has to meet it.

Climate Decode sets and delivers FLAG targets end to end — inventory, pathway, financed plan, removals, and validation-ready reporting.