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AutomotivePaint Shop · MACC · CFRUngated · July 2026

Automotive Decarbonization: The Full White Paper

The paint shop as the carbon core, twenty levers, and the economics of two measures — an electric forklift fleet earning clean-fuel credits and a heat pump on the paint line — that move with energy, carbon, and credit prices.

By Koorosh Behrang · Founder, Climate Decode · · 10 pages, ungated

The Full Report · Ungated

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A vehicle assembly plant burns comparatively little fuel, yet its on-site Scope 1 and 2 emissions run about 0.6 tCO₂ per vehicle — and the paint shop alone is roughly 80% of the gas. This paper sets out where those emissions sit, how to abate them in the right order, and how two measures behave as prices move. No form, no gate: read it here, jump to any chapter, or open the PDF.

0.6 tCO₂
on-site Scope 1+2 per vehicle
~92,000
tCO₂e/yr at a 150,000-unit plant
~80%
of plant gas is the paint shop
20 levers
in the dynamic MACC model
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Sample finding · the forklift

An electric forklift fleet earns about $229,000/yr in CFR credit revenue against a ~$1.6M incremental capex — a payback under three years and a marginal abatement cost near −$480/t, once the efficiency uplift turns ~430 physical tonnes into ~570 creditable ones.

Sample finding · the heat pump

A COP-3.6 heat pump on the paint line turns net-saving around $50–60/tCO₂ — a level most compliance carbon prices already exceed. An electric boiler on a carbon-heavy grid can instead add emissions.

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Koorosh Behrang
Written by

Koorosh Behrang

Founder, Climate Decode · Industrial Decarbonization & Carbon Markets

Founder of Climate Decode with more than 10 years across decarbonization strategy, corporate sustainability, Net Zero target setting, and compliance carbon markets. Leads the development of TerraNova — Climate Decode's platform for emissions baselines, marginal abatement cost curves, and finance-grade project economics.

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