On-Demand Webinar · Replay Available

VCM Market Outlook 2026:
One Market, Splitting in Two.

The webinar is now complete. Watch the full replay — the ground-up supply & demand numbers, the registry-up method behind them, the live Q&A, and the launch of Canopy. Recorded 24 July 2026.

The Full Recording

Watch the VCM Market Outlook 2026 webinar

Prefer the detail in writing? Read the VCM Market Outlook 2026 report →

What the Session Covered

The market is splitting in two — and the rules now decide which tonne counts

Where the scarcity really is

2,591 Mt issued all-time, yet a 1,273 Mt overhang sits unused — and it is avoidance. See the split by category, vintage, registry and buyer — and how we built it, registry by registry.

The price ladder, pulled apart

Credits trade across a ~100x range — from ~$0.80 for wind to ~$130 for biochar, with engineered removal higher still. Why a market average is not a usable planning price.

The 2026 quality screen

The four gates — eligibility (CCP or Article 6.4), rating, vintage and authorisation — that now determine price and claim under VCMI and SBTi V2.

Your questions, answered live

Bring your questions on the numbers, the method or the market — all three speakers stay on for the open Q&A.

Built For

Act on the Outlook

Turn the numbers into a position

Book a 30-minute demo — a Climate Decode specialist will follow up.

Market Watch

Customised market intelligence for buyers and sellers — peer benchmarks, category pricing and the live supply & demand read, mapped to your position.

Book a demo →

Get onboarded on Canopy

Screen a residual profile into a claim-ready removals shortlist — the procurement workflow shown live in the session. See it on your own portfolio.

Book a demo →

A specialist follows up within one business day.

What We Covered

60 minutes, end to end

1
The numbers
The two-market thesis: the 1,273 Mt overhang, demand flat at 157 Mt, rebuilding to ~290 Mt by 2036 and ~1,190 Mt by 2050.
15 min
2
How we reached them
The method: every registry read from the ground up — by category, vintage and buyer — and the assumptions behind the supply, demand and price forecasts.
15 min
3
The buyer's playbook
The four-gate quality screen, the ~97 Mt removals deficit by 2036, and budgeting to the durable ramp rather than an average.
10 min
4
Canopy, live + Q&A
Screen a residual profile into a claim-ready removals shortlist — then open Q&A: ask us anything about the numbers.
20 min

Want the numbers in full? Read the VCM Market Outlook 2026 report →

Speakers

Who you heard from

All three stay on for the live Q&A.

Vaibhav Jain
Vaibhav Jain
Founding Managing Director
12+ years in carbon markets · Ex-South Pole, PwC
Abhishek Das
Abhishek Das
Co-founder · APAC Lead
8+ years in carbon markets
Koorosh Behrang
Koorosh Behrang
Co-founder · Managing Director
12+ years in carbon markets · Ex-The Nature Conservancy, NYSERDA
The Platform

One Platform. Two Products. Expert Advisory.

Compliance reduction, residual balancing, and carbon project development in a single enterprise workspace.

Reduce

TerraNova

Navigate 21 compliance carbon markets with AI-powered MRV, decarbonisation planning, incentive management, and real-time market strategy.

Explore TerraNova →
Balance

Canopy

Manage residual emissions through voluntary markets, nature-based solutions, and carbon dioxide removal with AI-driven portfolio intelligence.

Explore Canopy →
Develop

Advisory

Carbon project development spanning both products — from CFR registration and CCS credit monetisation to NBS removal projects and CORSIA reporting.

Explore Advisory →